Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
