Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.