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Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
V

FC Twente
1 - 2
Vitesse

Danilo (20' pen.)
Dumic (4'), Roemeratoe (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tannane (44' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Broja (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
32.36%25.26%42.38%
Both teams to score 55.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34%47.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14%69.86%
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05%27.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43%63.58%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58%22.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06%55.94%
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 32.36%
    Vitesse 42.38%
    Draw 25.26%
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-1 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 4.45%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.38%

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