Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Emmen |
66.5% ( 0.37) | 19.06% ( -0.05) | 14.44% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.11% ( -0.45) | 39.88% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.76% ( -0.47) | 62.24% ( 0.47) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.86% ( -0.03) | 11.14% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.42% ( -0.07) | 35.58% ( 0.07) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.97% ( -0.71) | 40.03% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% ( -0.66) | 76.68% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Emmen |
2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.11% Total : 66.49% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.06% | 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 14.44% |
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