Despite defeat last time out, Waalwijk will be confident of causing a surprise on Sunday as they look to establish further distance ahead of the relegation zone. However, we cannot back against a Twente side who are one of the form teams in the division, leading us to predict a narrow home success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
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