SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Emmen |
40.25% ( 0.07) | 26.6% ( -0) | 33.16% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% ( -0.01) | 53.08% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( -0.01) | 74.66% ( 0) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.03) | 25.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0.04) | 60.9% ( -0.05) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -0.05) | 30.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( -0.06) | 66.25% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.16% |
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