SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
46.38% ( -5.83) | 25.24% ( 1.07) | 28.39% ( 4.77) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.82) | 49.34% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.75) | 71.39% ( 0.75) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( -2.74) | 21.29% ( 2.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( -4.42) | 54.22% ( 4.42) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( 3.45) | 31.54% ( -3.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( 3.8) | 67.93% ( -3.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -1.18)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.65)3-0 @ 4.14% ( -1.03)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.44)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.58)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.89)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.89)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.55)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.47)Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.39% |
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