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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
19.42% ( 1.02) | 20.34% ( 0.5) | 60.24% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0.75) | 36.53% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( -0.82) | 58.68% ( 0.82) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( 0.59) | 32.14% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( 0.66) | 68.62% ( -0.67) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -0.64) | 11.81% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.95% ( -1.38) | 37.05% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.42% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.12)0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 7% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.74% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.13)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.24% |
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