SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
69.79% ( 0.45) | 17.9% ( -0.2) | 12.32% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( 0.28) | 39.55% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.1% ( 0.3) | 61.9% ( -0.29) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.79% ( 0.19) | 10.21% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.5% ( 0.43) | 33.5% ( -0.43) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% ( -0.23) | 43.01% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% ( -0.19) | 79.3% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.48% Total : 69.78% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 17.9% | 0-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 12.32% |
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