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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.37%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
57.37% ( 0.58) | 21.17% ( -0.24) | 21.46% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.44% ( 0.71) | 37.56% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.21% ( 0.76) | 59.79% ( -0.75) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.41) | 12.95% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.57% ( 0.82) | 39.43% ( -0.81) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( 0.11) | 30.82% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( 0.12) | 67.09% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.84% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 21.46% |
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