SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
45.27% ( -0.67) | 23.15% ( 0.22) | 31.58% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% ( -0.84) | 38.19% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% ( -0.9) | 60.46% ( 0.89) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( -0.59) | 17.28% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.39% ( -1.04) | 47.61% ( 1.04) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.14) | 23.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( -0.2) | 57.99% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.09% Total : 45.27% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.58% |
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