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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
68.73% ( -1.27) | 17.75% ( 0.75) | 13.51% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.23% ( -2.41) | 35.76% ( 2.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.16% ( -2.71) | 57.84% ( 2.71) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0.91) | 9.45% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.26% ( -2.2) | 31.74% ( 2.2) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.31% ( -0.85) | 38.69% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.57% ( -0.81) | 75.43% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.68)3-0 @ 8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.25)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.14)Other @ 4.39% Total : 68.73% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.75% | 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 13.51% |
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