Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
55.5% ( -3.18) | 23.29% ( 1.39) | 21.21% ( 1.8) |
Both teams to score 52.64% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -3.62) | 47.41% ( 3.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -3.45) | 69.63% ( 3.45) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% ( -2.33) | 16.92% ( 2.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.01% ( -4.3) | 46.99% ( 4.31) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( -0.24) | 36.64% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% ( -0.24) | 73.42% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.56) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.52) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.49) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.46) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.07% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.73) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.89) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.21% |
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