Groningen struggle to find the back of the net on home turf, while Heracles have difficulty scoring on the road. We expect a low-scoring affair this weekend and a slender win for the hosts come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Heracles
57.3%	24.07%	18.63%

Both teams to score 46.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.27%

53.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78%

75.21%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.41%

18.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.14%

49.86%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.94%

43.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66%

79.34%

Score Analysis

Groningen 57.3%

Heracles 18.63%

Draw 24.06%

Groningen	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 13.46% 2-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.79% Total : 18.63%