There is little to choose between the sides, and we expect a close contest. That said, the onus is more on the hosts to pull further clear of relegation danger with all three points in this one, and we fancy them to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Groningen
35.85%	24.76%	39.39%

Both teams to score 58.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.38%

44.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01%

66.99%

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58%

24.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15%

58.85%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44%

22.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85%

56.15%

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 35.85%

Groningen 39.39%

Draw 24.76%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.39%