There is little to choose between the sides, and we expect a close contest. That said, the onus is more on the hosts to pull further clear of relegation danger with all three points in this one, and we fancy them to get the job done.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
