Three of the last four encounters involving the teams have ended all-square with the only exception being the most recent clash earlier in the season. We expect another tight affair here and the narrowest of victories for Twente come the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
