With an opportunity to temporarily open up a five-point gap at the top of the standings, Ajax have enough incentive to go out with all guns blazing. We fancy them to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Ajax
12.45%	19.1%	68.45%

Both teams to score 47.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26%

44.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9%

67.1%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89%

46.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.2%

81.8%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.99%

12.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.54%

37.46%

Score Analysis

Groningen 12.45%

Ajax 68.43%

Draw 19.1%

Groningen	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 4.29% 2-1 @ 3.52% 2-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 0.96% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.45%	1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.1%	0-2 @ 12.43% 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-3 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-4 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-5 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.25% Total : 68.43%