As recent clashes suggest, there is little to choose between the sides ahead of this one and the match could go either way. We are tipping the teams to cancel each other out, giving rise to a share of the spoils at the sound of the final whistle.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.12) 
0.05) 
