A return to De Grolsch Veste should signify a return to winning ways for FC Twente, up against an inconsistent side who are still finding their feet after a summer of change.
Phillip Coco might inspire some 'new manager bounce', but the hosts should be too strong to allow a debut victory for the new head coach.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
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