With both teams currently averaging two goals per game, we expect an end-to-end affair with lots of goalmouth action. We are also tipping AZ to narrowly come out on top at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a FC Twente win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
62.01% ( 0.37)	20.85% ( -0.18)	17.14% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

0.51)

42.75% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

0.5)

65.15% (

-0.5)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.76% (

0.27)

13.24% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.99% (

0.55)

40% (

-0.54)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

0.09)

38.33% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

0.09)

75.09% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.01%

FC Twente 17.14%

Draw 20.85%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
2-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 62.01%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.85%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.14%