Despite managing to avoid defeat for the first time this term in their most recent involvement, Vitesse have made a poor start to the new season and will head into Sunday's clash on the back foot. We are tipping Groningen to emerge victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.07) 
