Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
