SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
50.09% ( 0.25) | 24.34% ( -0.02) | 25.58% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( -0.09) | 47.48% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.08) | 69.7% ( 0.08) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( 0.06) | 18.99% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( 0.11) | 50.54% ( -0.11) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( -0.23) | 32.75% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% ( -0.26) | 69.31% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
