SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
37.29% ( 0.08) | 25% ( 0.04) | 37.71% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( -0.16) | 45.66% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( -0.15) | 67.98% ( 0.15) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.03) | 24.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -0.04) | 58.41% ( 0.04) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.14) | 23.88% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( -0.19) | 58.08% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.71% |
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