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Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
AA

Vitesse
2 - 1
AZ

Openda (31'), Rasmussen (72')
Bero (12'), Tannane (12'), Dasa (90+3')
Cornelisse (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Karlsson (81')
De Wit (19')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
32.21%23.88%43.91%
Both teams to score 60.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62%41.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22%63.77%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01%24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.63%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9%19.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28%50.72%
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 32.21%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.91%
    Draw 23.87%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 4.59%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-1 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 5%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.47%
1-4 @ 2.07%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 43.91%

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