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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FT

AZ
4 - 1
FC Twente

Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
62.12%20.11%17.77%
Both teams to score 57.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.78%38.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.5%60.5%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19%11.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95%37.05%
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12%34.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38%71.62%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 62.12%
    FC Twente 17.77%
    Draw 20.11%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 7.05%
3-0 @ 6.69%
4-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-0 @ 3.57%
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 62.12%
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 4.12%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-1 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.77%

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