As shown by their respective league standings, Utrecht and Go Ahead Eagles have been closely matched all-season long and this weekend's game could easily swing either way. However, we fancy the hosts to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
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