SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
29.38% ( 0.32) | 23.64% ( 0.26) | 46.98% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( -1.05) | 41.64% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( -1.07) | 64.04% ( 1.06) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.32) | 26.9% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% ( -0.42) | 62.22% ( 0.41) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( -0.64) | 17.95% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( -1.1) | 48.78% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.98% |
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