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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
N

Utrecht
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuytinck (19')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC

There is little to pick between the sides heading into this one, and Sunday's game could easily head either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
54.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.17% (0.155 0.16) 24.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 64.24% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97% (-0.89200000000001 -0.89)34.03% (0.9 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.1% (-1.018 -1.02)55.9% (1.025 1.03)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (-0.304 -0.3)12.65% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (-0.637 -0.64)38.8% (0.64599999999999 0.65)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.574 -0.57)26.46% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.771 -0.77)61.64% (0.779 0.78)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.47%
    NEC 24.36%
    Draw 21.17%
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.164 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, March 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 4-2 Volendam
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Nijmegen
Tuesday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Nijmegen
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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