Twente head into the weekend on a superb run of results and are clear favourites to claim all three points in this one. They have enjoyed the better of this fixture and while we expect the hosts to put up a fight, we are backing Jans's men to come out victorious once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	FC Twente
41.91% ( -0.31)	25.9% ( -0.07)	32.19% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

0.39)

50.46% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

0.35)

72.39% (

-0.35)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

0.02)

23.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

0.03)

58.06% (

-0.03)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

0.45)

29.44% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56% (

0.55)

65.44% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

NEC 41.9%

FC Twente 32.19%

Draw 25.89%

NEC	Draw	FC Twente
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.9%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.19%