SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | NEC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
41.91% ( -0.31) | 25.9% ( -0.07) | 32.19% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( 0.39) | 50.46% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 0.35) | 72.39% ( -0.35) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( 0.02) | 23.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.94% ( 0.03) | 58.06% ( -0.03) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( 0.45) | 29.44% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.56% ( 0.55) | 65.44% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.19% |
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