SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Cukaricki |
46.1% ( -0.01) | 25.98% ( 0.01) | 27.92% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( -0.04) | 52.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( -0.03) | 74.28% ( 0.03) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.02) | 22.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( -0.03) | 56.5% ( 0.03) |
| Cukaricki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.02) | 33.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( -0.02) | 70.26% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Cukaricki |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.92% |
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