We expect a comfortable FC Twente victory to wrap up their progression to the next stage of the Europa Conference League.
Cukaricki only gained a foothold on home soil once their opponents had taken their foot off the gas having gained a three-goal lead, so we cannot envisage them pushing the Dutch side away from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
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