SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cukaricki | Draw | FC Twente |
25.8% ( 0.04) | 23.36% ( 0.02) | 50.83% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( -0.07) | 42.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( -0.07) | 65.38% ( 0.07) |
| Cukaricki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( -0.01) | 30.17% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% ( -0.01) | 66.32% ( 0) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.05) | 17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( -0.09) | 47.11% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cukaricki | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 25.8% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.83% |
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