Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.