Volendam have conceded 10 goals during their last three Eredivisie matches, so Heerenveen will be looking to take advantage of any defensive frailties from the hosts.
De Superfriezen have been competitive in recent matches against the likes of Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, so the visitors should be confident of taking maximum points on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
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