SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
24.52% ( -0.11) | 22.82% ( -0.07) | 52.66% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( 0.25) | 41.71% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( 0.25) | 64.11% ( -0.25) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( 0.05) | 30.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( 0.06) | 66.73% ( -0.05) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( 0.15) | 15.88% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.9% ( 0.28) | 45.1% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.52% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.66% |
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