SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
48.69% ( -0.28) | 23.62% ( 0.26) | 27.69% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( -1.17) | 42.7% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( -1.18) | 65.1% ( 1.18) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -0.55) | 17.7% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.66% ( -0.97) | 48.34% ( 0.97) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.58) | 28.62% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.74) | 64.42% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.77% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
