SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heerenveen |
31.73% ( -0.04) | 23.54% ( -0.03) | 44.72% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( 0.11) | 39.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( 0.12) | 62.35% ( -0.12) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( 0.03) | 24.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( 0.04) | 59.1% ( -0.05) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( 0.07) | 18.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.78% ( 0.12) | 49.22% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 44.72% |
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