SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 72.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
72.97% ( 0.09) | 16.53% ( -0.2) | 10.5% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( 1.31) | 38.15% ( -1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( 1.38) | 60.43% ( -1.38) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.92% ( 0.35) | 9.08% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.13% ( 0.83) | 30.86% ( -0.84) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.75% ( 1.09) | 45.24% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.87% ( 0.85) | 81.13% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.45)3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.07% Total : 72.97% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.5% |
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