Waalwijk have struggled over the past two months, but they now face a Volendam side who have only mustered up a single victory in 15 away matches so far this season.
Volendam are a couple more results away from retaining their Eredivisie status for next term, but we do not see them taking a further step towards safety at Mandemakers Stadion on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
-1.01) 
0.94) 
