SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
12.47% ( -0.06) | 15.89% ( 0.02) | 71.64% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0.29) | 29.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.36) | 50.02% ( 0.36) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% ( -0.3) | 35.64% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.59% ( -0.31) | 72.41% ( 0.31) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.86% ( -0.06) | 7.14% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.01% ( -0.16) | 25.99% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 12.47% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.89% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 71.64% |
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