Groningen have nothing to play for in this match and will likely be deflated after being relegated, which should lead to a routine victory for Vitesse.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
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