While they will have one eye on the second leg of their Conference League semi-final, Feyenoord should have enough about them to get the job done in this one, and we fancy them to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Feyenoord
18.47%	20.29%	61.24%

Both teams to score 58.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.13%

37.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.87%

60.13%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08%

33.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41%

70.59%

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.05%

11.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.66%

37.34%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 18.47%

Feyenoord 61.24%

Draw 20.29%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 5.03% 1-0 @ 4.38% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.94% Total : 18.47%	1-1 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 7% 0-3 @ 6.48% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 3.72% 0-4 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.58% 0-5 @ 1.46% Other @ 4.11% Total : 61.24%