Given the emotion of Thursday night, Feyenoord will likely field a much-changed lineup despite their desire to stay in the Champions League hunt. That will only play into the favour of PSV, who we feel should have enough quality to claim a hard-fought triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
36.13% ( -0.03)	23.93% ( 0)	39.94% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.63% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.38% (

-0.03)

40.62% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37% (

-0.03)

63% (

0.03)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56% (

-0.03)

22.44% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03% (

-0.04)

55.97% (

0.04)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.45% (

-0)

20.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.93% (

-0)

53.07% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 36.13%

PSV Eindhoven 39.94%

Draw 23.93%

Feyenoord	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.13%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.94%