Off the back of their recent run of results, Feyenoord will back themselves to emerge triumphant this weekend, and while Utrecht are no pushovers, we expect the home side to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 54.75%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Feyenoord in this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	FC Utrecht
54.75%	22.12%	23.12%

Both teams to score 59.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01%

39.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.65%

62.35%

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43%

14.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.36%

42.64%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27%

30.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01%

66.99%

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 54.75%

FC Utrecht 23.12%

Draw 22.12%

Feyenoord	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 6.29% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.03% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.75%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 6.01% 0-1 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.85% Total : 23.12%