The two sides boast similar levels of quality, and, given the nature of a first-leg affair, we predict a tight contest with neither risking a heavy defeat but both posing the ability to punish their opponents. We ultimately see a draw as the most likely outcome ahead of the second leg in France. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	Marseille
44.21%	23.69%	32.1%

Both teams to score 61.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45%

40.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07%

62.92%

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36%

18.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05%

49.95%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35%

24.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83%

59.16%

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 44.21%

Marseille 32.1%

Draw 23.68%

Feyenoord	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.5% Total : 44.21%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.1%