SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 4.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heracles |
84.93% ( -0.24) | 10.09% ( 0.21) | 4.98% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.16% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.32% ( -1.02) | 26.68% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.92% ( -1.31) | 47.08% ( 1.31) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.65% ( -0.21) | 4.35% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82% ( -0.67) | 18% ( 0.67) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.3% ( -0.74) | 50.7% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.87% ( -0.5) | 85.13% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heracles |
| 3-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.11)7-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.43% Total : 84.93% | 1-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.68% Total : 10.09% | 1-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.88% Total : 4.98% |
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