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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion

Heracles
2 - 2
Almere City

Hornkamp (48' pen.), Hrustic (65')
van de Looi (28'), Roosken (34'), Sonnenberg (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cathline (19'), Robinet (35' pen.)
Barbet (27'), Koopmeiners (88'), van Duiven (90')
Robinet (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-1 Almere City

Almere City have the slight edge coming into this one, but Heracles will be looking to make home advantage count in their favour. We can see the teams matching each other over the 90 minutes and playing out a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawAlmere City
50.17% (-1.335 -1.34) 23.12% (0.374 0.37) 26.71% (0.963 0.96)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-0.918 -0.92)41.12% (0.92 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48% (-0.94 -0.94)63.51% (0.942 0.94)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.81 -0.81)16.55% (0.813 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (-1.478 -1.48)46.32% (1.48 1.48)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.235 0.23)28.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.294 0.29)64.29% (-0.292 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 50.17%
    Almere City 26.71%
    Draw 23.12%
HeraclesDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.123 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.182 0.18)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heracles
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 3-2 Vitesse
Saturday, February 10 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 Heracles
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Volendam
Saturday, January 20 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Almere City
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 AZ
Saturday, February 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Excelsior
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Sittard
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie


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