Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
40.09% (![]() | 24.2% (![]() | 35.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% (![]() | 41.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% (![]() | 64.37% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.94% (![]() | 21.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.13% (![]() | 53.87% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% (![]() | 57.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.67% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 11.13% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.11% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.71% |
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