Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
35.02% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() | 41.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.26% (![]() | 38.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.95% (![]() | 61.05% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% (![]() | 22.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% (![]() | 55.55% (![]() |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% (![]() | 19.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.34% (![]() | 50.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 7.95% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 8.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.47% |
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