SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
68.09% ( -0.02) | 17.5% ( 0) | 14.4% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.68% ( 0.01) | 32.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.06% ( 0.01) | 53.93% ( -0.01) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% ( -0) | 8.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.08% ( -0) | 29.91% ( 0) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.02) | 35.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( 0.03) | 71.94% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 68.09% | 1-1 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.4% |
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