SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.49%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 19.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-3 (7.33%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
19.27% ( -1.87) | 19.24% ( -0.76) | 61.49% ( 2.63) |
| Both teams to score 63.73% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.59% ( 0.9) | 31.41% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.13% ( 1.06) | 52.87% ( -1.06) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -1.14) | 29.23% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -1.43) | 65.18% ( 1.43) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.04% ( 0.93) | 9.96% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.07% ( 2.1) | 32.93% ( -2.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.02% Total : 19.27% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.24% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 7.33% ( 0.27)0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.4)2-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.22% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 3.43% ( 0.35)2-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.21)0-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.22)2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 61.49% |
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